Money Where Mouth Is
August 9th, 2006 by BWV
I have always believed that the earliest, most reliable evidence of a material slowdown in the consumer economy would come not from any government stats or guru prognostications.
Because it represents the collective bets of investment managers with access to great information, the stock price action of Capital One (COF) will be my tell.
This breakdown is still early, but if it gets some traction in the next week or so would suggesst an economic recession and a brutal stretch for the markets. We have a short in COF from yesterday afternoon.
We are also short Corus Bank, a lender to condo developers in South Florida. ‘Nuff said.
Short COF, CORS
